Don’t believe the polls – Believe in Mitt. Believe in Yourself. Believe in America.
Ok, I am not going to make a prediction – I will attach an article where Dick Morris does that (spoiler he predicts a republican landslide). What I will do is get in front of the BS polling currently going on right now. The corrupt media is so desperate to prop up Obama the polls have become meaningless. Look at the facts. Romney is up double digits with Independents. In what universe does a President win an election where he trails Independents by double digits. I’ll tell you, only if his party has a HUGE voter turnout advantage at the polls. Sorry Dems, that isn’t going to happen this year. Do you know anyone who voted for McCain in 2008 that is voting Obama this year? Anyone? Republican enthusiasm is off the charts. Look at the 2010 mid terms. The Democrat turnout advantage was washed away. No way 2012 looks like 2008.
Yet, that’s what many of the polls would have you believe. Some polls are using HIGHER Dem turnout in their models and / or under sampling Independents to give Obama the lead. Obama’s RCP average has been stuck around 47-48%. Even when he was leading. His favorability is around there too. Typically, those translate to election day results for the incumbent.
Does that mean Romney wins? Of course not. But think back to 2008, the final weeks. McCain was pulling out of swing states and defending what should have been safe states. Sound familiar. Major polling organizations have pulled out of Florida and North Carolina. They know Obama has lost. Virginia is gone. Colorado is gone. Look at where Obama is spending time and money. Ohio, Wisc, Minnesota, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Iowa, New Hampshire. With the exception of Ohio, these are his FIREWALL states. Gallup shows early voting advantages Obama enjoyed in 2008 gone. More telling, sampling of those voting early show Democrats are pulling sure votes forward while the GOP is getting net new voters to the polls early. Advantage Mitt.
From the Human Events Link included:
The conventional wisdom of this election has long held that Obama will have a huge lead in early voting, and the Democrats have at least a +3 registration advantage. But both of those contentions have been called into question by recent polls from Gallup, which holds that Romney is ahead five points in early voting, and the Republicans actually have a 1-point registration edge. If Gallup’s assessment of the electorate is accurate, Romney is on his way to a resounding victory. If the Democrats really do have an 8-point advantage, Obama will probably win.
My point of all this – Stay the course my friends. We are close. Don’t let them lie to you anymore. Vote. Call your swing state friends and relatives. Some reading material to get you motivated!!! Especially the last one. I would love to see Axelord shave that thing off!!!
“Well, ‘Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell’ is back – not for gays in the military. It’s President Obama’s new policy for questions about Libya. Don’t ask, don’t tell.”
“Have you seen that new Obama campaign ad that equates voting with sex? It’s kind of clever. It uses innuendo to try and woo young female voters.”
“Like one line says,” he continued, “’Your first time shouldn’t be with just anybody. It should be with a great guy who really understands women.’”
“But, on the other hand, if it is your first time, you might want to do it with someone who doesn’t need eight years to get the job done. That’s all I’m saying. That’s all I’m saying.”
His erosion began shortly after the conventions when Indiana (10 votes) and North Carolina (15) moved to Romney (in addition to the 179 votes that states that McCain carried cast this year).
Then, in October, Obama lost the Southern swing states of Florida (29) and Virginia (13). He also lost Colorado (10), bringing his total to 255 votes.
And now, he faces the erosion of the northern swing states: Ohio (18), New Hampshire (4) and Iowa (6). Only in the union-anchored state of Nevada (9) does Obama still cling to a lead.
In the next few days, the battle will move to Pennsylvania (20), Michigan (15), Wisconsin (10) and Minnesota (16). Ahead in Pennsylvania, tied in Michigan and Wisconsin, and slightly behind in Minnesota, these new swing states look to be the battleground.